I’ve headed home from a very snowy New Hampshire yesterday (I’m wondering what impact that would have had on turnout had it happened a couple of days earlier – I suspect Ron Paul would have been better off). But before I left, I asked Republican candidate Jon Huntsman’s top foreign and defense policy advisor, Randy Schriver, what he made of the campaign so far.
U.S. presidential elections are rarely, if ever, won and lost on foreign policy issues (it’s the economy, stupid), but a lack of foreign policy knowledge can undoubtedly help undermine a candidate’s efforts to project the necessary presidential gravitas (think ex-candidate Herman Cain’s worries about China becoming a nuclear power).
So what did Schriver think about the level of debate so far?
“The quality of the debate is, of course, a function of the quality of the candidates. In this regard, Gov. Huntsman outclasses the field and brings hands-on experience as a diplomat, a trade official and a private businessman,” he told me. “He has raised the quality of debate through putting forward creative yet practical ideas while other candidates have been unable to resist the urge to pander and seek the easy applause lines.”
Unfortunately in U.S. politics, ignorance is sometimes worn as a badge of honor, and Huntsman’s service as ambassador to China under Barack Obama has drawn criticism even from candidates who should know better. China’s rise is undoubtedly the biggest story in the big story of Asia, and having someone with such hands on experience is clearly preferable to the blustering, counterproductive posturing of the “will he, won’t he?” non-candidate Donald Trump.
But are Americans paying attention to the candidates’ foreign policy stances?
“Most American are focused on the economy and jobs – but in reality, these issues are interrelated with foreign policy,” Schriver told me, adding that Huntsman has been keen to emphasize the importance of putting trade and economics at the forefront of U.S. international efforts. “[He] will continue to articulate that view so that the voters do see the linkage and understand better why we need to get back in the trade game.”
And of course, as important as China is, there’s been plenty going on in just the past month or so for whoever is elected (or reelected) to get his teeth into. What does Schriver think are some the things that have perhaps been a little overlooked?
“There are several issues we are watching carefully such as the situation in Iran, as they have threatened to close the Strait of Hormuz, and North Korea as they implement an uncertain leadership transition,” he said. “I think there’s a chance the discussion could also broaden out, rather than get more issues specific.”
Moving closer to the election, he argued that it will become clear “that President Obama has a different vision for the United States in the world, and essentially sees his task as managing our decline.”
“Gov. Huntsman believes the world is a better place when America leads, and our interests are best served when America leads. That premise would inform his overall approach to foreign policy.”
Expect that theme of whether Obama really believes in America’s calling – and right – to lead the world to come up again in this campaign.







Liang1a
The most important foreign relationships of America will be with China and Russia. Unfortunately for America it is almost certain that Putin will be reelected president. It is also almost certain that Putin will move Russia closer to China. With these two big military powers moving closer together it will obviously be problematic for America. Below are a couple of pictures that show Putin with Bush and with Hu respectively. It is obvious that Putin is stressed and maybe even a touch angry with Bush but is perfectly relaxed and friendly with Hu. And Bush also shows stress while Hu was relaxed and friendly. This may be good evidence to show that relationship between China and Russia will warm up while the relationship of China and the US and the relationship of Russia and the US will freeze.
http://www.thewashingtonnote.com/archives/2009/02/leaders_from_bo/
http://uncyclopedia.wikia.com/wiki/File:Putin_and_Bush.jpg
http://i58.photobucket.com/albums/g253/Liang1a/putinhu-putinbush.jpg
ari
You are right Liang1a. America in 2012 and beyond may have to pay for the sins of George Bush and Obama-Hillary’s antagonistic behaviour towards China and Russia. When Washington loses Beijing as a friend and counterweight to Moscow, it will have no choice but to blame itself. They can do all the soul searching all they want about “who lost China”!
Mr Putin is an excellent leader and strategist. His Eurasia concept and idea is a great one, reminding all of us here in Asia that we live as one humankind or civilization here on the Asian-Europe landmass, and that our destiny is intertwined and together. America is far and away on the other side of the world. At one stroke, when this takes place, Washington loses and is isolated.
Washington will feel this economically when Beijing turns and focus on the Asian landmass countries, in particular Russia for trade as Putin has so magnificently proclaimed the direction for Russia. Moscow and Beijing will then be the catalyst for huge economic expansion for trade amongst the Asian-East European countries and the rise of Eurasia will indeed be a matter to behold. Their total population is approximately staggering 4-5 billion! The U.S. and its stooges, sorry, vassals, can only be second place or also ran this century. 2050 may be the pivotal point for this.
Liang1a
ari wrote:
January 14, 2012 at 1:55 pm
You are right Liang1a. America in 2012 and beyond may have to pay for the sins of George Bush and Obama-Hillary’s antagonistic behaviour towards China and Russia. When Washington loses Beijing as a friend and counterweight to Moscow, it will have no choice but to blame itself. They can do all the soul searching all they want about “who lost China”!
Washington will feel this economically when Beijing turns and focus on the Asian landmass countries, in particular Russia for trade as Putin has so magnificently proclaimed the direction for Russia. Moscow and Beijing will then be the catalyst for huge economic expansion for trade amongst the Asian-East European countries and the rise of Eurasia will indeed be a matter to behold. Their total population is approximately staggering 4-5 billion! The U.S. and its stooges, sorry, vassals, can only be second place or also ran this century. 2050 may be the pivotal point for this.
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Ari, America has self-inflicted this deteriorating relationship between China and the US. After Deng, the relationship between China and America was getting very good while that between China and Russia was downright hostile. But when Clinton bombed the Chinese embassy and then Bush knocked down the Chinese fighter, it made the Chinese take a new reality check. It accelerated the re-militarization of China and began the warming of the Chinese-Russian relationship. With the re-election of Putin, China and Russia will realize again the advantages of mutual cooperation as they have each other’s back. And you are right, as the Eurasian landmass is developed it will become the most advanced and economically prosperous area in the world pulled by the economic engine of China and the abundant resources of the region. But first China has to rise and develop cutting edge technologies and develop its domestic economy fully to some $100 trillion equivalent. Only with such advanced technologies and big economy can China be the motive force to unite and enrich the region.
If the correct policies are implemented to emphasize indigenous technological advancement and to accelerate the full urbanization of the farmers, then China would develop an economy 2 times that of the US within 10 years to 90 trillion and yuan or $30 trillion on 3 yuan per dollar and can begin to equalize the US anywhere in the world. By 2030, China’s economy would be some $60 trillion equivalent and would have achieved the most advanced technologies in the world and with a military that is more than twice as powerful as the US, Japan and EU combined. Therefore, China does not need to wait for 2050 to be the pivotal force in the world. It will come as early as 2020, but as I said only if the correct policies are implemented. Otherwise, if China continued to depend on exports and FDI then China will sink down to become an economic colony of Japan and the West and become a bigger version of Philippines.
Antoni
The Soviet Union collapsed and Russia’s atpmetts to control prices again will fail again. China is propped up by its strong manufacturing power and it’s ability to produce amazing amounts of things for low wages. They are a tyrannical, oppressive regime who manipulates its currency worse than we do. Comparing America is China makes you sound like Henry Kissinger or Brzezinski.