I’m a reluctant convert to the idea of stationing a detachment of Littoral Combat Ships (LCSs) in the South China Sea. The Pentagon has been flirting with such a deployment for some time, and it now appears the idea will become reality. Adm. Jonathan Greenert, the United States’ top-ranking naval officer, confirmed that several of the vessels will soon make Singapore their home-away-from-home once they join the U.S. fleet. Another contingent may operate from the Philippine Islands. Rear Adm. Thomas Rowden, the U.S. Navy’s director of requirements for surface warfare, elaborated at the annual Surface Navy Association convention in Washington last week. He touted numbers of LCSs rather than their capabilities. The navy plans to acquire 55 of these low-end, relatively low-cost combatants. Rowden espoused “aggressively fielding the LCS fleet in order to meet our vital war-fighting gaps and forward-deploy additional American flags on LCS halyards.”
Call it the Woody Allen principle of maritime strategy: ninety percent of life is just showing up.
And indeed, LCS proponents raise some compelling points about the vessel. The U.S. sea services’ Cooperative Strategy for 21st Century Seapower unfolds along dual tracks, directing the U.S. Navy, Marine Corps, and Coast Guard to remain the preeminent combat force in the Western Pacific and Indian Ocean for the foreseeable future while also building partnerships and coalitions to safeguard maritime security throughout the world’s oceans and seas. The former enterprise relies on the familiar panoply of warships, including aircraft carriers, guided-missile cruisers and destroyers, and attack submarines. But top-end combatants are overqualified for policing the sea for pirates, weapons traffickers, and other forms of lawlessness. They verge on wasting assets when deployed to, say, the Gulf of Aden for counterpiracy duty. Less capable vessels like the Littoral Combat Ship can discharge such missions adequately at lower cost, letting heavy forces concentrate on their chief duty: preparedness for battle.
Unlike traditional U.S. Navy multi-mission platforms – ships that perform a variety of functions, from anti-air warfare to striking at targets ashore – the LCS is a single-mission vessel. Or rather, it performs one mission at a time. The ship is designed to carry “mission modules” that give it a modest capability for mine countermeasures, anti-surface warfare, and anti-submarine warfare. Assuming the technology pans out, an LCS will be able to put into port and change out one module for another within hours, reconfiguring itself to execute a different mission. This isn’t a ship built for the battle line. LCS backers also observe that size matters. Foreign partners find smaller, single-mission ships less imposing. That’s part of the reason why U.S. Coast Guardsmen have proved such adept coalition-builders: their vessels resemble those found in foreign sea services. Coast Guard ships are smaller than their navy brethren packed with sensors and weaponry. And they were designed specifically for constabulary functions.
An LCS squadron will presumably let the navy tap these same qualities. Forging coalitions in the South China Sea will prove challenging, as a report released last week by the Washington-based Center for a New American Security shows. (Your humble scribe contributed the chapter on maritime security.) In large part that’s because China opposes any consortium among Southeast Asian states. Beijing insists on dealing with these states individually rather than as a unit. And it reflexively portrays the U.S. naval presence as an implement of latter-day containment. In the boilerplate routine among Chinese officials and pundits, an enduring “Cold War mentality” manifests itself in America’s forward strategy. But Beijing will find it far harder to depict an LCS squadron – a flotilla unfit for major combat – as Washington’s way of quashing China’s rightful ambitions on the high seas.
The LCS, then, may be the right ship for the Southeast Asian theater while drawing the venom from Chinese rhetoric. In some ways, an LCS squadron would constitute a throwback to the U.S. Asiatic Fleet, which anchored the US presence in Asia until crushed by Japan early in World War II. The Asiatic Fleet was a light force, not a battle fleet. Its chief purpose was diplomacy. It showed the flag while upholding the “Open Door” policy in China. A heavy cruiser was assigned as flagship. Its entourage included elderly craft like light cruisers, destroyers, riverine gunboats (think USS San Pablo from the Steve McQueen film The Sand Pebbles), submarines, and support ships. Shortly before the outbreak of war, fleet commander Adm. Thomas Hart quipped that his vessels were all “old enough to vote.” The fleet was “of minor combat value, and had been so for a long time.” Hart moved his ships from Shanghai to Manila as storm clouds gathered over the Western Pacific. This didn’t spare the Asiatic Fleet from destruction.
To survive as a fighting force, the Asiatic Fleet needed reinforcements from the larger U.S. Pacific Fleet. Help never arrived once Japanese carriers struck at the Pacific Fleet at Pearl Harbor. But U.S. forces are staged far closer to the theater today, providing a backstop. Once the LCS contingent – the nouveau Asiatic Fleet – is in place, forces optimized for maritime police duty will operate from bases around the South China Sea rim. Heavy forces are in Guam and Japan, far closer than Hawaii or the U.S. west coast. Yet U.S. forces could be arrayed even more effectively. Washington should work with Canberra to expand last November’s basing agreement. Positioning a U.S. Marine expeditionary unit at Darwin, along Australia’s northern coast, is good. Positioning a U.S. Navy carrier or surface action group in Australia would be even better. That would let U.S. maritime security forces do their work in the South China Sea with the cavalry just over the horizon, outside the southern arc formed by the Indonesian archipelago.
The Littoral Combat Ship, then, may be a good standard-bearer for the United States in Southeast Asia, precisely because it poses little plausible threat. An LCS contingent could let the U.S. sea services construct partnerships in this important waterway while putting China on notice that the United States is in the region to stay. And they can do so while holding combat forces in reserve, largely out of harm’s way. Will such a posture mollify Beijing? Doubtful. What would, short of the U.S. Navy’s evacuating Asian waters? But unassuming ships like the LCS hardly look like instruments of Cold War containment. Chinese protests about increased U.S. naval activity in southern waters will ring hollow with important audiences. In short, the messaging seems right.
James Holmes is an associate professor of strategy at the US Naval War College, the co-author of Red Star over the Pacific, and the co-editor of the forthcoming Strategy in the Second Nuclear Age: Power, Ambition, and the Ultimate Weapon.The views voiced here are his alone.








yang zi
hmm, indeed very clever.
Leonard R.
‘Mollifying China’ should not be a goal of the US Navy. And I question the value of Singapore as a base. It’s a long way from the West Philippines Sea, where conflict has already occurred.
Maybe the Navy knows what it’s doing here. I don’t know.
It’s good news about LCS being stationed in the Philippines though.
That’s long overdue.
Cyrus14
Finally a US Naval presence in West Philippine Sea. That way ASEAN can make a stand against Chinese agression. Really now, don’t China has its “civilian fleet”?
The Philippines is not protesting mainly because US is a TREATY Ally and has asked Philippine Permission to enter its territory.
SO much unlike that the deceptive Chinese are doing.
Mike
This is a crazy crazy article. The suggestion is that building 500 million dollar ships with no weapons is good naval strategy.
Anyone who supports the LCS program is literally insane. It is like supporting a fighter jet or a bomber with no ability to destroy targets.
yang zi
I knew Philippines had it in itself to be stationed by US when it is pursuing its “interest”. It has the balls to challenge the freedom of navigation by Chinese ships. At least US ships knows the rules. Philippines should let US LCS to patrol its coast and pay for it.
US trying to stick a foot in SCS, in order to control or dominate the south east Asia integration and development. It is all fine and welcome.
Since the real deal is between US and China, I really think all these regional US “allies” should totally submit to US, don’t pretend you have any say in anything. By US’s firm control of these countries, China can just deal with US.
So I support US directly taking these countries defense spending. Japan should give half of its defense budget to US, south Korea give 80%. South Korea completely relies on US protection. Philippines should increase defense spending and give 90% to US.
Only by doing this, US can afford to do what it is doing. Because in the long run, US presence will be dwarfed by Chinese presence in that area both in economic and military areana. Only by drawing few percentages of those countries GDP, US can build a comparable presence militarily.
South Korea is another imperialist Japan in making, an occupation style of control by US is good for the peace in the area.
Singapore has no choice but be a US lackey. Indonesia’s position in the choke points of pacific and Indian ocean is a hugely flash point in the future.
India should submit to US too. Its two front strategy is useless unless it enlists US support. Instead of buying weapons from multiple sources, it should do it like Saudies, buy from US. It is drawing tremendous strategic benefit from US anyway.
US should ask its “allies” and “partners” to pay using their defense budget now and in the future, otherwise it will embark on the road UK took, help build many countries that will be stronger than itself.
Current trend suggest a much stronger Asia than US itself. US is stimulating this trend, not throttling it.
Cyrus14
Well Indonesia is increasing its Defense Budget and the Philippines also is. When the UN Approved Philippine Claim to its 200 Mile SCS in the Pacific Ocean then we can finally utilize the Natural Gas there it should fuel our Economic Growth and the Modernization of our Armed Forces.
ASEAN as a United Front could really put a deterrent on Chinese Agression.
yang zi
don’t get your hopes up and don’t be an amateur. there isn’t much gas there. Indonesia will be dominate. Brunei/Malaysia are happy to take your land and sea. If the trend keeps up, China will be the best buddies with Indonesia, because …
ASEAN is a weak idea, now US is meddling, ASEAN will be the first victim.
Cyrus14
Did you check on the survey it sits on a vast gas reserve we just can’t harvest it because we still havent gotten the nod of the UN.
yang zi
If I were PLA, I would lobby for dramatic defense budget increase. The arguments are strong and benefits are tremendous. The security environment is clearly worsened.
It could spark on an arms race in Asia, which is good no matter what,
1. If Asia country builds up, it gets stronger relative to US, that’s good for US-China rivalry.
2. US may be forced to increase defence spending, thus adding the weight to its relative economic decline.
So no matter what happens, US would get weaker relatively. China’s build up will also spur Russia to build up. We are looking at the golden age of world defense spending, the rising of multiple powers that can cut US’s arrogant dominance.
In this case, an arms race is good. It structurally favors China over US. The equation is simple, let’s say US want to maintain a dominace of 3 to 1 vs China. China spends $1, US spends $3, US out spend China by $2. but if China spends $2, US has to spend $6, it has to out spend by $4!
pretty soon you will see US go bankrupt or stop racing. China should increase spending to $350billion, drive US defense to 1 trillion. But by China doing this, Russia, Japan, India and other countries will increase their spending, making combines spending in Asia and Russia bigger than US’s, US will be bankrupt and out gunned.
nirvana
>>”If I were PLA,…” (Yang Zi)
—
So you are not… But you have been advocating for arms race. Trillions here, thousands of nukes there. And you are talking “common prosperity” and “peaceful rise” too!
Yes, you are thinking of a “reverse Ronald Reagan’s doctrine”, push the US to go bankrupt by increasing its defense spending.
Unfortunately, Obama is advocating a reduction in defense spending, and a rationalization: less for Europe, less in Middle East and less in Central Asia. The more China increases its military, the more you will see the US doing “rationalization”. Why? Trivial! There can be only one super-power.
Reason
Oh dear Yang zi – you really should start reading books
Start with books on the Japanese thirst for an arms race, especially concerning parity with the US navy, prior to WWII
like this one
“From Mahan to Pearl Harbor: The Imperial Japanese Navy and the United States” Sadao Asada
yang zi
Reason, no need to read. just think, if China increase defense budget to $350b, what does US do? it definitely will go for trillion. is there any doubt?
of course, if China and US go at it, China will lose on the sea, but China’s goal is not to fight,not even to match or surpass US, but to drive US to bankruptcy. The US industrial military complex will seize the opportunity to lobby for buildup. old guards like John McCain and Lieberman will scream for buildup.
the proud Uncle Sam will rise up to the challenge, it will fall, but with head holding up.
let’s face it, US is doomed if it doesn’t change, it pays too much to equipment and veterans. it just can’t afford a large scale war.
If US want continue to be the world police alone, it should adopt my suggestion, take “allies’” defense budget. 50% of Japan’s, 80% of S. Korea’s, etc. don’t be shy about it, China can scare these countries to help.
pretty soon US will get $100 billion raised.
Why I advocate this? because US is the protector of these countries, it is better to deal with US directly. besides, US is much more mature than these countries and easier to deal with.
Watcher
Yeah, and all these countries will ally with China – haha. Stick to you good friends North Korea and Pakistan. Actually US (naturally) wants their allies to spend more on defense – and they will as military spending and aggressiveness increases. Your mathematisc don’t make sense since you’ve manipulated the equation too much!
yang zi
They are not going to ally with China, but they are stronger voices on their own, thus weaken the voice of US.
ari
So, Washington may up the stakes in the SCS. It will start another arms race, not just with China but also encouraging all the other littoral states to buy American arms.
America, a peace seeking country. Bull! Its foreign policies and actions seeks to cause more death, tension, hostility, unrest, and confrontations. Much like what they have brought to any country or region where they have decided to focus or meddle or intervene. Asian countries shouldn’t welcome this angel which is actually a angel of death, ready to deliver its deadly kiss to Asian countries.
nirvana
@ari,
America has not always been a peaceful country, it has often erred.
BUT:
- It saved the world (including China and a lot of Asian countries) in WWII
- It had the monopoly of nuclear weapons for more than 8 years but did not exploit this position (including during the Korean war).
- Those countries who have accepted its hegemon are better off than those who accepted the Soviet’s and China’s hegemon.
- Countries close to America do not proliferate (nuclear).
- When China allied herself with America (to bring down the Soviets), China’s international position improved compared to when China aligned itself with the Soviets.
- When China copied America’s capitalism, Chinese lives improve, compared to when China was pursuing socialism.
China has not been at war since 1979, BUT:
- China is preparing actively for war
- China military is vocally advocating for war, or at least for showing off China’s might.
- China is not planning for war only within its periphery (otherwise what an aircraft acrrier is for?)
- Countries like Pakistan and North Korea are close to China and they PROLIFERATE. Pakistan also harbour terrorists.
- China will not limit itself to tactical wars. It is planning an “unrestricted war”, including escalating to an all out nuclear war.
- China will not limit to wars on earth. It is planning war in space
In other words, America’s aim is to maintain America’s order of the world. China aim is to establish a new order the world: China’s.
WE KNOW how bad America could be. At the same time we know how noble Americans have been and we are grateful for their magnanimity.
We DON’T KNOW how bad China could be. We haven’t seen much of China’s nobility and there is seldomly a case of China acting out of self-interest.
We DON’T KNOW whether America wants to remain dominant at any cost. We DO KNOW that China wants to dominate at any cost.
DownRedChina
@nirvana
You make all very good points. I concur “We DO KNOW that China wants to dominate at any cost.” China was willing to killed 70 millions of its own people and China was willing to crush its own people with tanks in 1989. Google “War Is Not Far from Us and Is the Midwife of the Chinese Century” or click on this link http://www.theepochtimes.com/news/5-8-8/31055.html
All I can say is China is evil.
Mitch O’Grady
Things have changed. Washington is not being called a war-monge, even in the U.S., without good reason. Have to definitely disagree with the Diplomat’s “live-in” American “wu-mao-dang” – “nirana” and “DownRedChina”. I am sure there are many who holds the same view like me worldwide. So, you chaps are likely to be minorities and remain forever, minorities. Shouting endlessly your abberated views does not make it any truer.
DownRedChina
@ari:
China’s actions (killed unarmed people/cut cables etc) pushed Asian countries into American camp. I said this before but I say again. China was the sick man of Asia and China is spreading cancer in Asia now. US brings the medications to Asia to destroy China cancer.
Cyrus14
I concur it is China’s on doing why its being encircled by increasing hostile states. ASEAN used to be relatively peaceful but China’s aggression has prompted ASEAN to be giddy.
Reason
@Down Red China
I think you mean The CCP —- NOT China. The CCP is the cancer of China that is trying to spread its tentacles out further
CCP… Not China!
DownRedChina
@Reason: You’re correct.
Lung Sha Shou
Chinese words are meaningless.
They respect nothing except power.
They will lie and decieve and claim all manner of things to get what they want.
Treat them fairly and by the rules, but let them get away with nothing and never ever trust what they say.
The China bloggers are hilarious pronouncing lies as if they were fact, always omittting crucial details, and playing the Beijing way of thinking they can define the past and simply create facts by their lies – just like the Ministry of Propaganda.
Like whining children they nurse grievances and dream of the day they can exact revenge – which will simply be their bullying and mistreating others (the definition of Asian power – put up with it we ar bigger than you).
The century of humiliation? – Gimme a break. The century of slaughter and death at the hands of their paedophile great leader Mao the Megalomaniac.
Since Tiananmen square they have methodically taught their children hatred in schools and universities – The US has done more for China than any other nation and could have and should have throttled its growth instead of letting the greed of corporations assist China’s growth – A Frankenstein’s monster.
Typically the Chinese resent any one stronger and will exact “revenge” for that alone.
No ethics, no decency, no principles, just vanity, pride and hate – courtesy of the “Commmunist Party” the true Chinese values have been perverted and twisted with nationalism encouraged for the reasons of those in power.
Chi Haotian is right – they will make the Nazi’s look like choirboys.
Not one of the China bloggers could stand a rational argument based on any coherent set of principles nor could their regime.
The West should arm to the teeth as we will never start a confrontation with China as they surely will.
The MAD doctrine is all that can save the world from the Red Devils
hokie_1997
Dr. Holmes: “The Littoral Combat Ship, then, may be a good standard-bearer for the United States in Southeast Asia, precisely because it poses little plausible threat.”
****
So – the Navy should congratulate itself on fielding an entire class of ships which are so bereft of capability that the best usage anyone can devise is as a ‘flaming datum?’
The theory of the Asiatic Fleet is nice, but the reality is that it’s presence didn’t appear to cause Tokyo to even briefly reconsider its plans wrt the Philippines and Southeast Asia. Strategically, destroying the Asiatic Fleet didn’t even break Japan’s stride, nor did it require diverting significant military resources from the main attack on Pearl Harbor. And from the US side, maintaining the Asiatic Fleet drained experienced pre-war officers and sailors (many of whom were eventually killed or captured) who might’ve better served the Navy training/leading the rapidly expanding Pacific Fleet.
All of this business of “flying more flags off US halyards” will likely prove as relevant an approach in the Pacific in the coming years as it did in ‘37-41. It could be much less so, given the limited number of LCS which will be deployed, their extremely limited combat capability, and the pace of modern naval combat operations.
The reality is that the LCS is not only significantly outclassed by the folks we are trying to deter (China), it is outclassed by just about EVERY OTHER COMBATANT in the Pacific region – allies included! I don’t think the fact that we care enough to send our “JV team” will be particularly deterring to China or assuring to our allies.
If one takes a ‘deeper’ look at the problem, the strongest assurance to our allies in the Pacific region will likely remain our extremely capable nuclear attack submarines. Our allies in the region may not physically see the flags on the halyards of our SSNs, but isn’t that kind of the point? One doesn’t need to see a submarine for it to have a deterrent effect.
The mere fact that US SSNs are underway ’somewhere in the Pacific’ serves as a significant deterrent to China, given its extremely limited ASW capabilities. Our allies undoubtedly recognize and are assured by this capability, rather than our forward deploying some puny gunboats. The proofs in the checkbook – why else would so many of them (Philippines, Singapore, Taiwan, Japan, and Australia) devote significant resources to modernize their own submarine fleets?
Bottom line – if we’re really concerned about the Pacific, we should be investing in more submarines… and not some overpriced, undercapable, irrelevant gunboat.