And even as the floodwaters drop in the north and centre of the country, more towns in the far south continue to be threatened, with the low-lying town of Sujawal submerged on Sunday. Rising waters, as the River Indus slowly empties into the Arabian Sea, threaten the towns of Jati and Choohar Jamali, where official warnings have been issued to residents to evacuate.
Emergency relief operations focus on evacuations, disease prevention, shelter provision and feeding the homeless. However, for the immediate and longer term, the people, aid agencies and the Pakistan Government must think about how to rebuild the shattered regions affected by the flood. It will be a mammoth reconstruction task to rebuild and rehabilitate roads, power stations, schools and health facilities.
The damage wrought on the country's agricultural economy means that people will need food aid for months—in some cases well over a year—depending on when planting can be done in the flooded areas, once the water is gone. The immediate losses are immense, and will stretch an already indebted economy even more. Pakistan’s external debt is set to reach $74 billion by 2014, with annual debt servicing three times the $1billion spent on health care by the government.
According to Pakistan's Food and Agriculture Ministry, the country has lost half a million tonnes of wheat, 1.6 million tonnes of rice paddy, 7.6 million tonnes of sugarcane and 2-3 million bales of cotton.An estimated 23 percent of the year’s harvest was washed away, including a quarter of the cotton crop, which is a vital input into the country's textile industry.
Three-quarters of Pakistan’s total exports comprise textiles and agriculture, some of which will now have to imported to meet domestic demand, straining an already weak economy further and draining the public purse just when money is needed for flood rebuilding. The full economic costs and impact will be established in time by the Pakistani government, along with the UN and the World Bank. The reality is, however, that the country has been set back years by this disaster, which is far from over as disease and hunger threaten millions.
The government's much-criticised response to the disaster has led to a relative popularity boost for the Army, which has the logistical and heavy-lift capacity to at least be seen to be operating. Simultaneously, jihadist groups are working on flood relief, and may capitalise on the perceived ineptitude in the government to boost their profile and popularity, not least in regions where they were driven out by the Army in recent years. However their implementation capacity seems to be limited—with a few dozen camps in place, compared with government/military camps numbering almost 3000, according to officials.
One positive outcome from the disaster could be improved relations between India and Pakistan. This possibility comes after New Delhi upped its initial offer of $5million in bilateral aid to $25 million—which Islamabad wants routed through UN agencies. The aid pledge is set against a background of the decades-old dispute over Kashmir and Indian anger over the 2008 Mumbai hotel attacks, which killed 166 people and were blamed on Lashkar-e-Taiba, an al-Qaeda linked group which is now working on flood relief in Pakistan.
New Delhi's offer was slow in coming—two weeks after the disaster started—and criticism of India has been matched by dismay at Pakistan's slow and apparently grudging acceptance of the offer. The disaster and aid negotiations, might, it is hoped, at least reset India-Pakistan relations to their pre-November 2008 levels. The relief effort would benefit, too, if economic ties were improved sufficiently to allow aid to enter Pakistan from India and to overcome some of the unwieldy logistical and procurement challenges faced by NGOs and international agencies.
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Millie.
It Was Tragic I Was there myself…
So many people trapped with no help people stranded in there homes waiting for ehlp that’ll never come, dead people floated in the water..
i couldnt believe myu eyes, it was like a worst nigthmare come true,
i was lucky to escape :(
my parents are missing.