China’s Arctic Play

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By Gordon G. Chang

An admiral stakes a territorial claim—and it looks like there’s more to come.

Photo Credit: US Coastguard

‘The Arctic belongs to all the people around the world as no nation has sovereignty over it.’ So said Chinese Rear Admiral Yin Zhuo, in comments relayed by the official China News Service on March 5 that essentially staked Beijing’s claim to the North Pole.

Of course, China, lacking an Arctic coast, has no recognizable right to any portion of the roof of the world. The five Arctic littoral states—Canada, Denmark, Norway, Russia and the United States—do, however, and their overlapping claims remain unresolved.

This all means that Admiral Yin’s statement has put China in the game, as he has effectively challenged all five nations. And not only has Yin staked a claim in the Arctic—it’s clear he wants China’s stake there to be significant. ‘China must play an indispensable role in Arctic exploration as we have one-fifth of the world’s population,’ he argued.

In just a few words, the good admiral has upended commonly accepted notions about Beijing’s intentions in the Arctic. ‘To date China has adopted a wait-and-see approach to Arctic developments, wary that active overtures would cause alarm in other countries due to China’s size and status as a rising global power,’ Linda Jakobson wrote in a report issued by the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute on March 1. As a result, Chinese officials had become ‘very cautious’ in publicizing their views.

Well, they were cautious—but apparently not anymore. The turnaround in attitudes is striking, especially because the People’s Republic, since its founding, had based its foreign policies on the bedrock of noninterference in the affairs of other nations, a concept embodied in the Five Principles of Peaceful Coexistence. So, when Jakobson wrote ‘China’s insistence on respect for sovereignty as a guiding principle of international relations deters it from questioning the territorial rights of Arctic states,’ she seemed on firm ground.

But within a few days, that ground began to shift. Yin based his expansive claim on the United Nations’ Convention on the Law of the Sea. His reading of UNCLOS is deeply flawed, but it could become a popular one. As he said, ‘The current scramble for the sovereignty of the Arctic among some nations has encroached on many other countries’ interests.’

Many other countries? Make that 190 of them, to be exact. It would seem that all but the five Arctic littoral states would have an interest in joining China in demanding a share in the riches of the world’s roof. Yin could become the voice of the non-Arctic nations.

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  1. Dev Kumar Dutta

    Interesting…very interesting. The dragon’s getting bigger and now it wants more of the bedspace. First it was Japan and her fantastic claims over all of Asia and now it’s China which was a victim of Japanese intimidation then. A lot of similarity there except that it could be completely different ballgame now especially when you consider China’s size.

    Reply
  2. Timerover

    Having served in Alaska with the US Army, I wonder if the Admiral fully understands what he is saying. Unless the Chinese are planning to go around the world to access the Arctic, they are going to have to go through the Bering Strait, right between Russia and the US. The seas that the Chinese Navy is used to operating on are quite placid compared to the North Pacific and Bering Sea, to say nothing of the Arctic Ocean. They have no experience in extreme cold weather operations, severe icing conditions for ships, and no experience in dealing with Arctic pack ice. The North Pacific and Bering Sea are some of the foggiest areas on the earth, and radars conditions can also get more than a little odd. Surface ducting is a major problem. Prolonged cold-soaking of metal hulls and welds can lead to major structural failure, as discovered during World War 2 operations in the area. Steel has totally different structural characteristics are 40 below zero. Any prolonged operations are going to require the development of a fleet supply train, and the knowledge of how to operate it. That in not something that is developed overnight. They have a lot to learn before being able to operate under Arctic conditions.

    Naval operations in the Bering Sea are definitely going to raise concerns in the US and Russia, to say nothing of operations in the Arctic Ocean. Four of the Arctic Nations, the US, Canada, Norway, and Denmark (courtesy of Greenland) are members of NATO. China moving into the Arctic is definitely going to raise some hackles in Europe as well. In addition, whereas the US, Russia, and Canada are well placed for aerial operations over the North Pacific, Bering Sea, and Arctic Ocean, any Chinese naval force will be seriously lacking in air cover and air support. Any air craft carrier is years away, and carrier operations under Arctic conditions are totally unlike operations elsewhere. I do not even want to think how high the operational loss rate would be in the middle of a North Pacific winter. I suspect that the Chinese Navy is going to discover that the Arctic is a lot farther away from home that it appears on a map.

    Reply
  3. Michael G. Gallagher

    This is very sad indeed. I can’t decide whether the PLA sounds more like Japanese militarists in the 1930s or like the Imperial German variety in 1910. Either way, the prospects for peace in Asia aren’t good.

    Reply
    • tinythought

      I understand exactly what you mean. Look at their 60th military parade, the uniforms, formations, gestures, and the plays look like a Nazi parade.

      They bully southern neighbors, claim the whole south sea as their lake. Recently, they flexed their navy power beyond Japanese sea…World peace doesn’t look good under this Chinese hegemony. But look at where Nazi Germany and militarist Japan ended. PLA China is heading there.

      Reply
  4. Guest469

    What “claim” is this talking about? China isn’t a claimant. Adm Yin is merely asserting his position. Why does this insist on characterizing the Admiral’s position as “hostile”? It seems perfectly reasonable to me, and doubly so if you consider that it may be merely a bargaining position. SOP in international politicking.
    It’s clear that the author is no fan of China. I have no issue with that, but it renders the “analysis” predictable and pointless.

    Reply
    • Concerned Australian

      China is a claimant and PLAN officer Yin is not merely doing asserting his position but setting the stage for PRC activity in that region. Given the Beijing Regime’s appalling record on the international stage, flagrant violation of norms of decent conduct, incredible carelessness for the rights and lives of its own people and others, and its record of supporting the world’s worst regimes any extension of PRC influence beyond their borders is appalling.

      You have to realise that the conduct and behaviour of of the 1% of PRC citizens who are party members and who control more than 70% of the nations wealth is founded on an appalling lack of concern for any ehtical or moral principle except the use of power.

      The record of his rulers, and the muscular talk of PLA officer’s of late clearly indicate they are itching for a fight. The Admiral’s position is, if you know the background to the Regime, its “body count” since 1949 and its gross violations, undoubtedly “hostile”?

      On the international scene self-interest is admittedly a characteristic of all nations, but it is taken to a hideous extreme by the Beijing regime who have no decent morality and support the worst violators of human rights (Iran, Zimbabwe, Burma etc)

      We are beginning to see their true colours (they were always evident if you understood what they were doing in terms of religious & sect persecution, Tibet Xinjiang, The Republic of China (Taiwan) and the jailing and beating of parents who protest about their kids being killed by corruptly built buildings killing schoolchildren, or when corrupt officials transmit HIV/AIDS to the innocent when buying their blood – YOU DON’T HAVE TO BE POLITICAL TO BE BRUTALLY SUPPRESSED – although anyone with a decent set of ethics and morality is recognised as an enemy by a regime that has none and who lies to the world and its people.

      Unfortunately, whilst I suspect your sympathies are with the Regime, I doubt that my civilisation is going to wake up to what is really going on. I know PRC will trade oceans of blood to emerge victorious. The threat of a decapitation strike could keep us all safe.

      Reply
    • tinythought

      Someday, another Chinese think tanker may suggest America’s Midwest should belong to China because there are a lot of Chinese bones buried along the rail road.

      Reply

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